The Widdershins

Seeing through transparency…

Posted on: September 14, 2016

trump-putin

Where to start?  How about cold-cocking a rambunctious 69-year-old oxygen-dependent woman who dared not genuflect at a Donnie Deplorable donnybrook?  Or how about starting World War III by blowing Iranian boats out of the water if they make ugly gestures offending the tender sensibilities of our sailors?  What about discussing the clamorous Yam going on Russian T.V. and declaring his enduring homoerotic fascination with Vladie Dearest?

Or we could just dwell on Hillary’s pneumonia.

Then there is the all important transparency.  Transparency is last week’s “optics” that was the prior week’s “lack of access”.  Luckily all three collided last Sunday in the iPhone clip that has been played and replayed as if it were the Zapruder film showing the infamous second stumble into the campaign van.  Of course it doesn’t stop there since the dark cauldron of internet rumors knows no end.

We could spend our time exploring just how deplorable the marauding hordes of angry Trump phobia-phobic phobes are, but we started that discussion back in May.  That’s when we discovered Trumpkins consider “white discrimination” to be as large a problem as discrimination against minorities.  We could talk about the Alt-Right not considering themselves racist, since they just hate Jews, but that is merely the beginning when talking about the parade of deplorables.

trump-poll-discrimination

Nearly half of Trump’s supporters described African-Americans as more ‘violent’ than whites. The same proportion described African-Americans as more ‘criminal’ than whites, while 40 percent described them as more ‘lazy’ than whites.”

A Pew poll released in February found that 65 percent of Republicans believe the next president should “speak bluntly even if critical of Islam as a whole” when talking about Islamic extremists.

Another Reuters/Ipsos online poll in July found that 58 percent of Trump supporters have a “somewhat unfavorable” view of Islam and 78 percent believe Islam was more likely to encourage acts of terrorism.

The deplorable remark brought with it the Right’s professional victimization.  The victimhood kicked-in with all its righteous fury and so did the Right’s selective amnesia.  It seems they conveniently forgot that Deplorable Donnie called half the country losers.

Just last night former Secretary of State Colin Powell reluctantly joined the fray by way of purloined emails.  Secretary Powell has little good to say about the Yam, his orange-tinted acolytes, or their racist ways.  The Powell emails have lovely pet names to describe the Yam like “national disgrace,” “international pariah,” and “racist”.trump-deplorables

In keeping with what is the equivalent of muscle memory, our attention could just return to Hillary’s email which is the trusty stand-in for every false equivalency story for the past two years.  The Washington Post summed it up quite nicely by pointing out how good news about Hillary’s email doesn’t seem to find its way to the front page or into Matt Lauer’s “Moderating for Dummies” textbook.

First is a memo FBI Director James B. Comey sent to his staff explaining that the decision not to recommend charging Ms. Clinton was “not a cliff-hanger” and that people “chest-beating” and second-guessing the FBI do not know what they are talking about. Anyone who claims that Ms. Clinton should be in prison accuses, without evidence, the FBI of corruption or flagrant incompetence.

Second is the emergence of an email exchange between Ms. Clinton and former secretary of state Colin Powell in which he explained that he used a private computer and bypassed State Department servers while he ran the agency, even when communicating with foreign leaders and top officials. Mr. Powell attempted last month to distance himself from Ms. Clinton’s practices, which is one of the many factors that made the email story look worse. Now, it seems, Mr. Powell engaged in similar behavior.trump-putin-bromance

Last is a finding that 30 Benghazi-related emails that were recovered during the FBI email investigation and recently attracted big headlines had nothing significant in them. Only one, in fact, was previously undisclosed, and it contained nothing but a compliment from a diplomat. But the damage of the “30 deleted Benghazi emails” story has already been done.

Since it is pretty much accepted fact that there is a double standard in the coverage of the two candidates, there are now compilations of questions the media has refused to ask the whirling Cheeto.  There is even convoluted excuses for engaging in false equivalencies.

For a moment and contrary to the ephemeral nature of optics, let’s talk facts – as boring as that might be. When it comes to policy, the Mango Meerkat has cobbled together 9,000 words on his website while Hillary weighs in at around 113,000.  The Orangealope has a grand total of seven, that’s seven whole policies, while Hillary has thirty-three.

In addition, national unemployment is down to around full-employment numbers.  Inflation is non-existent.  Gas is $2.00 a gallon.  And only announced yesterday, the median income for U.S. households jumped 5.2% from 2014 to 2015.  That represents the biggest one-year increase since the Census Bureau started tracking this data in 1968.  As a result, over 3 million Americans rose out of poverty in 2015.  It’s hard to overstate just how big a deal this is.hillary-flag

Remember the last time this happened? A Clinton was in the White House who likewise had spent seven years cleaning up the mess of prior Republican administrations.  History might not repeat itself, but it sure does rhyme.  So yes, please, another term of this would be nice.

What’s on your mind today?

 

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42 Responses to "Seeing through transparency…"

Prolixous, As a former English teacher, I must say that you are one heckuva terrific writer. Your posts always entertain while making important points. Oh, and the various sobriquets you come up with to describe Hillary’s opponent are hilarious.

Roz in NJ/NYC

Thank you Roz. I always find myself going back and checking and rechecking subject and verb agreement. Having your stamp of approval gives me some confidence.

Excellent post Prolix. I am so sick of the msm. Do you think they may actually want the Orange idiot to win?

@3, Annie, you are so smart! I’m planning a post on that very subject for Friday.

Just a disclaimer for those who might be alarmed by the Bloomberg Poll showing Trump leading in Ohio by +5. Here’s what you need to know:

1. The poll sucks.

2. It is somewhere around a +7 Republican poll, meaning that the pollster Ann Selzer out of Iowa believes that the Ohio electorate will be at least 7% more Republican in its makeup than Democrat.

3. The 2012 actual breakdown was 38% Democratic, 31% Republican, and 31% Independent.

4. Selzer used the 2004 election model as its sample design where the breakdown was 40% Republican, 35% Democrat, and 25% Independent.

5. Finally, as you will remember, the 2004 election in Ohio was completely overshadowed by Amendment 1 on the ballot. Amendment 1 was the Defense of Marriage Act defining marriage. Ohio was just one of many states the ham-headed Karl Rove ginned up energy and Republican votes by getting it on the ballot.

6. If Trump is only ahead by 5% with this 2004 model, if I was Chatty Kellyanne and Boris Badenov Bannon, I would be afraid, very afraid of what the election will bring.

The long and short of it is this: This poll defines this election as the Yam engendering as much energy as DOMA in contrast to the actual demographic makeup demonstrated in 2012. Here’s my opinion: Ain’t gonna happen. Michael Bloomberg should get his money back unless this gins up huge click bait hits.

http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2016-09-14/ohio-poll

@5, Prolix, thanks for that breakdown.

@6, Sue, more than happy to help. As a loyal serf in the realm of Widdershin, your wish is my google.

I bet Ann Selzer will be on “All Due Respect” which is the Bloomberg show on BSNBC. Halperin and Heilemann ooze, gush, and sputter when Selzer has been on in the past. Of course, she is the house pollster for Bloomberg so I would expect they would act accordingly.

I’m anxious to hear her explanation as to why she used the 2004 model. There’s also no need to use a specific election as the model. A pollster can “weight” the results in any fashion they want. This is where the “art” of polling meets the “science”. That stuff makes my pea brain hurt.

@1: We will assume that Mr. Prolix speaks as well as he writes so…

(meant as a compliment as I’m sure Taggart did also) 😉

re the Capehart piece:

Clinton said she was being “grossly generalistic.” A caveat that keeps getting lost in the blanket coverage. She said “some of those folks” are “irredeemable.” A fact that keeps getting ignored in a vain effort to pretend that raw, unadulterated hate doesn’t exist in this country. And she went on to talk about the very real economic concerns of those Trump supporters who “don’t buy everything [Trump] says.”

If all of these things were pointed out or acknowledged in the criticisms of Clinton I wouldn’t have to give serious side-eyes to the nonsense I’ve listened to and read for the last three days. What’s truly deplorable is a presidential campaign with two different standards.

I didn’t care a great deal for Capehart some years back but imho he’s grown as a writer and reporter.

//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js

@8, LOL — I love that movie.

@9, I agree Fredster. I always thought Capehart waded around in the shallow end of thought, but it seems he has gotten his floaties and is venturing into the deep end. This election he seems to almost see the Yam as a personal affront.

@11: As I said, meant as a compliment. LOL!

@12: I agree with you on Capehart and I do think he sees Trump or at least the supporters as an affront on two levels; as a black man and as a gay man.

I am so sick of the media and their fluffing of Trump. I’m sure they will lob softballs at him during the debate and ask Hillary hard questions. Breitbart runs the media. I’ve always known the media was not our friend.

As for the CNN Poll showing Trump +4 in Ohio, here’s something interesting in the cross tabs. Everyone under 50 years of age was shown as N/A in the cross tabs. That is strange.

So strange I couldn’t let it be. In looking deeper at the methodology, it appears they omitted the subsections where the margin of error was +/- 8.5%. That is huge. It means that the sample size was so small, it was unpredictive +/- 8.5%.

In other words, it is worthless for anything other than click bait.

Here’s a story on the possible omission of anyone under 50.

http://www.politicususa.com/2016/09/14/cnn-trump-lead-ohio-polling-50-years.html

@15, you are exactly right to characterize it as “fluffing” because they are there to stage the Yam’s performance.

Regarding polls, I always look at RCP – you get a different picture there than the CNN polls. :http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html

@18, contrask, you are exactly right. A rolling average is the best and that’s what you get at RCP. 538 goes a little farther by “weighting” the accuracy of the various polls put into the average. So polls that have a “suspect” history get less weight than the more accurate ones. It is something like culling the vegetables out before you throw them into the pot for vegetable soup.

Great post, Prolix. Lots of juicy links to read now. This made me laugh:

Transparency is last week’s “optics” that was the prior week’s “lack of access”.

I can hardly wait for next week!!

@16, plus or minus- 8.5%?! Why’d they even bother to publish this?

I love my analytical blogfolks!

@21, thanks GAgal. This week was so newsy that by the time I linked everything up, I had only written 11 words.

@22, best I can tell Luna, it was Wednesday and Jeff Zucker said, “On Wednesdays we be poll-a-licious here at CNN so get me a poll.”

When I first saw that I thought it must be a mistake in the crosstabs. I’m still not convinced it isn’t. To collect responses from the 50+ crowd I’m imagining they bought their sample from the AARP — it came with a piece of pie at Denny’s.

@ Prolix, the MSM has been so uncaring of accuracy this campaign season I can well believe it wasn’t a mistake. Well, I think publishing a poll that’s +/- 8.5% IS a mistake, but fortunately my standards are different than those of the MSM.

@24 Or it might have something to do with this. (note Zucker was also the head of NBC who green lighted the Apprentice back then)

https://www.buzzfeed.com/alexcampbell/trump-gave-150000-to-charity-that-cnn-heads-wife-helped-lead?utm_term=.gfgQY4L1j#.peMr3OJYR

@25, I’m with you Luna. This campaign has been absolutely unburdened by facts and heavily inundated by innuendo.

@26, I bet this caused some raw spots:

The image offers visual evidence of the deep personal connections Trump — who has campaigned as an outsider — has in particular to the television industry, which transformed him from a second-tier real estate developer into a first-tier celebrity. It was Jeff Zucker who greenlighted The Apprentice in 2003 as president of NBC Entertainment.

@26: So I wonder how much exactly was Trump’s money?

It is not clear if the $150,000 listed by the Trump Foundation represents cash gifts or the value that the foundation assigned to the donated items, which as the Washington Post has documented is Trump’s preferred mode of giving. (The Post found that much of the Trump Foundation’s money comes from donors other than Trump himself.)

Could have been a truckload of Trump Steaks, wine and bottled water.

Mr. Pundit has an excellent piece about the yam’s trip to Flint Mi. and the wonderful black woman pastor who killed him softly, oh so softly.

“Mr. Trump, I invited you here to thank us for what we’ve done in Flint, not give a political speech.” The most amazing thing happens, a miracle, one might say, because Trump fumbles around, backtracks, skips the part about Clinton, and moves on to talking about Flint.

Good piece over at Shareblue by Melissa on trust in the media.

@30 now Trump has insulted the pastor. The man cannot stop lying. Again with the “something was up”.

“Well, I was in Flint yesterday, and it was a very interesting experience and got unbelievably good treatment from people, I must say, and even in that audience, the treatment was great. But something was up because I noticed she was so nervous when she introduced me,” Trump said in a telephone interview with “Fox & Friends,” saying that Bethel United Methodist Church pastor Faith Green Timmons “was so nervous, she was shaking” when she introduced him for his speech.

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/09/trump-flint-pastor-faith-green-timmons-228193

Elizabeth Warren wants the Justice Department open an investigation into why no charges were brought against the bankers after 2008. And she doesn’t forget the FBI. Will Comey care that he opened up this can of worms?

In a separate letter, to FBI Director James Comey, Warren asks for the immediate release of “any and all materials related to the FBI’s investigations and prosecutorial decisions regarding these referrals.” This disclosure is warranted, she writes, by Comey’s decision in July to release a lengthy and critical statement that included previously undisclosed information about Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton’s use of a private e-mail server—even though Comey decided not to recommend that charges be brought against Clinton. “Your recent actions with regard to the investigation of former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton,” Warren writes, “provide a clear precedent for releasing additional information about the investigation of the parties responsible for the financial crisis.”

http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2016-09-15/elizabeth-warren

@33: Oh my. I bet Comey’s going to regret this mess big time.

@32: And of course we’ll never know if the pastor was really (a) nervous or (b) shaking because he’s such a lying sack of sh!t.

All’s quiet tonight on the Widdershins front.

That Warren is a pistol.
May her tribe increase–no slur intended!

@37: Oh I just love that. Cute!

I see Trump wants to roll back food safety regulations. May he be the first to get food poisoning. On the positive side, he would probably lose that “15 or 20” lbs he say he wants to lose. 😀

@39, roll back food safety regs?!?! He’s evil.

And since he probably likes his steaks rare, he’s upping the chances for problems. May he get an aggressive E. coli infection. And tapeworms.

For those of you worried about the polls…don’t be.

http://www.alternet.org/election-2016/trumps-poll-numbers-climbing

All we need is turn out in the swing states. Also, the first debate will be very telling. Trump will not be able to.restrain himself without his teleprompter, and he’ll show Americans, who are now paying attention, exactly how scary he is.

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