In a news conference from Washington, D.C., on Sunday, the Vermont senator urged superdelegates from states where he has won the majority of the vote to reconsider their support.”It is virtually impossible for Secretary Clinton to reach the majority of convention delegates by June 14 with pledged delegates alone,” he said.
“She will need superdelegates to take her over the top. The convention will be a contested contest,” he said.
Activist Monday: Can Hillary Save Bernie from Himself?
Posted May 2, 2016on:
As for our friend #TheBernout, I think he may have had a few too many of those psychotropic mushrooms behind his cabin in the Vermont woods, because he seems to have lost any concept of how elections actually are supposed to work. He’s so far out on the fantasy limb, he could drop into a Dungeons and Dragons game without much of a leap.
His latest foray into the land of Make Believe is to claim that Hillary will not have enough pledged delegates to get to the magic number, so it’s going to be a contested convention.
Just because she will “need superdelegates to take her over the top,” that doesn’t mean that the convention will be contested. To contest the convention, you would need to make a really strong argument to overrule the will of the pledged delegates, the superdelegates, and, most importantly, the voters. Hillary Clinton has demonstrated an overwhelming strength in all three of these areas, leading in the popular vote count by three million votes.
Still, #TheBernout must have some reason to think that he can come back far enough to erode her overwhelming lead, right? Other than the fact that she’s only a wimminz? Why yes, yes he does!
He said he has won state after state after a strong majority of younger people have voted for him, noting he hopes to win Indiana in next week’s primary. His campaign has sparked energy and excitement, he said, which will translate to a large voter turnout in November.
Sanders then detailed the delegate math, saying that to win the majority of pledged delegates, he needs 65 percent of the remaining delegates in the upcoming contests.
“There are 10 states remaining where we are going to be vigorously competing, plus the District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, the Virgin Islands and Guam,” he said.
“We believe that we are in a very strong position to win many of these remaining contests and we have an excellent chance to win in California, the state with far and away the most delegates.”
He admitted that the road ahead is a “tough road to climb,” but not an “impossible road to climb.”
Sanders is trailing in the polls in every major upcoming contest, including California. Here’s how it’s looking according to 538:
- Indiana (Tomorrow!) – Clinton predicted to win by 7 points.
- California (June 7) – Clinton predicted to win by almost 10 points.
- New Jersey (June 7) – Clinton predicted to win by almost 10 points.
None of the other contests Sanders mentions have enough delegates to matter. (But but but…GUAM!!!)
Somewhat apologetically yesterday, Milo Beckman at FiveThirtyEight gently punctured #TheBernout’s hippified delusions. Unfortunately for the League of Extraordinarily Dense Brogressives, he ain’t going to come back.
…The reason for this is pretty simple: Proportional allocation of delegates makes comebacks really, really hard. You can’t just notch wins in a string of states, as Sanders did in late March and early April. You have to start consistently trouncing your opponent by large margins in every contest. You need, well, a political revolution.
But what about Obama? Sanders supporters have compared their candidate’s current deficit to Obama’s in 2008, but at this point in that election Obama was actually winning by 143 pledged delegates — enough that Clinton, despite still holding a lead in superdelegates, was receiving pressure to drop out of the race. In fact, Obama was at no point in 2008 actually behind Clinton in pledged delegates. It’s just that the media usually included superdelegates in their counts in 2008, and the DNC has instructed them not to this time around. That’s because we’ve learned our lesson: Superdelegates can change their mind. Unfortunately for Sanders, pledged delegates can’t.
If Obama isn’t a good comparison for Sanders, who is? There’s no good answer to this question because most candidates in Sanders’s position dropped out long before this point in the race. [bolding mine]
Our Girl, as always, is putting the Party’s needs before her own…something #TheBernout is constitutionally incapable of doing, narcissistic, lying sociopath that he is. Despite the intense frustration she must be feeling towards this pathetic poseur, she graciously proclaimed her willingness to work with him on the platform she’s believed in and upheld her whole life. Because you know, she really needs his help with that! As a lifelong Socialist, Bernie is such an expert on the Democratic Party platform, and he’s brought so much energy to the Party…unlike her!
What I can’t help wondering is, will #TheBernout take the olive branch Hillary has offered? Or will he go from Bern-ing out to Flam-ing Out at the Convention?
What do you think?
This is an open thread.
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