Activist Monday: 2016 Predictions
Posted January 4, 2016on:
Gooooooood Monday all, and Happy 2016! (I think my fellow Widdershins have amply covered 2015, so I will just move on.) I have many predictions and prestidigitations for the year to come, but none bigger than this one: My fellow Americans, we will elect the first woman POTUS in 2016!
I’ve been pretty certain of this since Hillary announced, but at this point, you can pick your position as to why you think she’ll 1), be the nominee, and 2), beat the pants off any Republican dumb enough to throw his hat in the ring. There’s the electoral college argument, which my politically astute stepmother favors. If you subscribe to this view, Democrats have 85 combinations of swing states to get to the magic 270, whereas the Republicans have only 72 – and none are all that likely (they must win both Ohio and Florida, and if we can get out the vote sufficiently, Hillary should win both states). You can also choose any of these 8 reasons – my favorite of which is, “Hillary is the most presidential.” Isn’t that a beautiful statement?
Don’t be fooled by the media’s shameful obsession with Donald Trump’s gaseous emanations. They have certainly done their best to remove issues and platforms from the public discourse…but according to Eleanor Clift of the Daily Beast, they aren’t succeeding, and Our Girl is connecting directly with the people who count most. That’s We, the People!
[Clinton’s policies] may not lead the nightly news or go viral on social media, but they are breaking through with voters in Iowa and New Hampshire. There are two-dozen in all, fleshed out with fact sheets according to a tally provided by the Clinton campaign, and they range from national security to quality of life issues.
It’s a liberal’s wish list, but the problems Clinton tackles are universal, and there’s something for conservatives too in taking on student debt, lowering the price of prescription drugs, providing a tax credit for care giving, and, in the midst of the holidays, announcing an ambitious $2 billion plan to find a cure for Alzheimer’s by 2025.
In an election cycle that has been anything but conventional, Clinton is running a textbook campaign, methodically laying out her proposals from what she would do about ISIS and terrorism, down to her views on GMO’s (genetically modified organisms in our food). Clinton was asked about GMO’s at a recent Baltimore fundraiser. A donor who was there told Grandmaison that he thought that would stump her, but she has a three-point program.
It’s almost comical how prepared Clinton is, especially when compared to Trump, who offers very little in the way of conventional policies. “She has a different electorate than he does,” says Matt Bennett with Third Way, a centrist Democratic group. While the Republicans are focused on style and rhetoric, the race between Clinton and Sanders is much more substantive, “and she’s got to make clear what she stands for. And because she is the favorite to become president, she is acting like a president.”
Yes, 2016 will be the year we finally take that giant step forward for humankind, and radically change the American political landscape for the better. Here are a few other things I feel confident will happen:
- Obama and Congress will do nothing important. There may be a few Band-Aids put on our horrendous gun violence situation, and there may be some blustering and posturing about the Middle East; but nothing major will change for the better. There certainly won’t be any “national conversation” about race despite a huge amount of tragic opportunity in that area. That’s just how our boyz and girlz roll.
- Marco Rubio will be the Republican Presidential nominee. He looks good on paper for the Republicans (young, reasonably photogenic and Hispanic-ish), and as dim, noncommittal and dishonest as he is, he’s the best that pathetic group of losers can offer the American people. I look forward to taking on this moron with our Widdershinian sarcasm turned up to 11.
- The momentum towards equal pay for equal work will continue to grow, both in the corporate and public sectors. Thank you, thank you, thank you, Sheryl Sandberg, for starting something that can’t be stopped! The furor about how corporate America treats women will continue to grow, and it will be less and less possible for our big businesses to ignore the income disparity and lack of female leadership rampant in their practices. Change is in the air…even my IT firm, which has only 20% women IN TOTAL (our percentage of women leaders is far worse) has pledged to grow to 30% in the next three years. It’s a start. And on the government side, California just passed “the strongest equal pay law in the country.” Gooooo, Jerry Brown!
- The media will be sexist towards Hillary at least seven times. (Number picked at random.)
- More women will vote in this election than in any in history. Who won’t want to vote for the first female President? I’ll bet even some Republican women will cross party lines.
Do you have any predictions for 2016? If so, please share them in comments. If not, this is an open thread as always.
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